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Closing Market Report

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Market can’t decide
between buy or sell


NEW YORK >> Wall Street, stymied once again by worries about interest rates, gave up a healthy early advance and closed mixed yesterday.

Investors ended up disregarding another encouraging economic report and better-than-expected earnings from companies including Lockheed Martin Corp. and R.J. Reynolds.

Analysts said the market can't decide whether to buy on the improving business climate or sell on the increasing likelihood of higher rates.

"We're seeing robust earnings and, in a lot of cases, positive surprises in earnings," said Peter Wall, chief investment officer at Chase Personal Financial Services. "But it still seems to be a dilemma for the market to focus on earnings or interest rates."

The Dow Jones industrial average closed up 33.43, or 0.3 percent, at 10,478.16, after gaining more than 90 points earlier in the session.

Broader stock indicators were mixed. The Standard & Poor's 500 index advanced 2.58, or 0.2 percent, to 1,138.11, while the Nasdaq composite index slipped 4.24, or 0.2 percent, to 2,032.53.

The price of the Treasury's 10-year note closed up 932 point, while its yield fell to 4.40 percent from 4.44 percent yesterday. Two-year Treasury notes rose 18 point and yielded 2.15 percent, down from 2.23 percent yesterday.

The erratic session followed two weeks of declines over interest rates. With the economy improving, many on Wall Street are nervous that the Federal Reserve will move up its timeline for raising rates. Higher interest rates would make it more costly for companies to borrow money -- leading some investors to worry that business expansion will slow.

There were more indications yesterday that the economic rebound continues. The Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index rose to 92.9 from a revised 88.5 in March. The reading was better than the 88.5 that analysts had forecast.

Also, the National Association of Realtors reported that existing home sales rose 5.7 percent in March to a seasonally adjusted annual rate that was second only to the all-time monthly high rate registered in September 2003, and ahead of market expectations.

There was a bright side to the difficult session. The economic reports didn't trigger any immediate selling, unlike other upbeat data in the past two weeks. Some analysts said the lack of a sharp selloff suggested the market's mood is improving, although it remains challenging for stocks to hold their gains.

"We've had a few trading sessions for profit-takers to take profits off the tables, and we've alleviated to some extent some of the valuation concerns we had a month ago because earnings have come in very strong in the first quarter," said Kevin Caron, a market strategist with Ryan, Beck & Co.


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